Bayesian inference networks, a synthesis of statistics and expert systems, have advanced reasoning under uncertainty in medicine, business, and social sciences. This innovative volume is the first comprehensive treatment exploring how they can be applied to design and analyze innovative educational assessments. Part I develops Bayes netsa foundations in assessment, statistics, and graph theory, and works through the real-time updating algorithm. Part II addresses parametric forms for use with assessment, model-checking techniques, and estimation with the EM algorithm and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A unique feature is the volumeas grounding in Evidence-Centered Design (ECD) framework for assessment design. This adesign forwarda approach enables designers to take full advantage of Bayes netsa modularity and ability to model complex evidentiary relationships that arise from performance in interactive, technology-rich assessments such as simulations. Part III describes ECD, situates Bayes nets as an integral component of a principled design process, and illustrates the ideas with an in-depth look at the BioMass project: An interactive, standards-based, web-delivered demonstration assessment of science inquiry in genetics. This book is both a resource for professionals interested in assessment and advanced students. Its clear exposition, worked-through numerical examples, and demonstrations from real and didactic applications provide invaluable illustrations of how to use Bayes nets in educational assessment. Exercises follow each chapter, and the online companion site provides a glossary, data sets and problem setups, and links to computational resources.W.3.2 Student can clearly state the thesis of an argumentative essay. W.3.3 Student can clearly state the conclusion of an argumentative essay. W.3.4 Student supports arguments with evidence in writing. W.3.5 Student appropriately usesanbsp;...
|Title||:||Bayesian Networks in Educational Assessment|
|Author||:||Russell G. Almond, Robert J. Mislevy, Linda Steinberg, Duanli Yan, David Williamson|
|Publisher||:||Springer - 2015-03-10|